Summary of Recession Indicators and Chances for a Recession (in USA or global) in 2025
As of March 17, 2025, key economic indicators show a moderate to increased recession risk for the year, estimated between 20% and 45%. The yield curve is partially inverted, Q1 GDP growth is negative, and consumer confidence is declining, presenting increased risk signals. Annual GDP projections and the labor market still suggest some resilience, indicating ...